This weekend we’ve got the biggest competition we have ever observed for DraftKings MMA. We’ve got a $10 entry competition with $300,000 in total prizes, and $100,000 of that to 1st place. I never thought we would see a 6-figure 1st place trophy for MMA but I was wrong and I can not wait to pursue it. Conor McGregor vs Khabib Nurmagomedov is going to be the biggest fight in UFC history and DraftKings just made it bigger for us DFS players. We are down to 12-fights therefore we can observe a range of ties for that 1st place prize, therefore strive to be different with your lineups somewhere, or leave wages on the dining table to differ in this manner. With that said, here are a Couple of plays I enjoy this weekend Together with my fade of the week:
Money Game play of this week — Vicente Luque ($9,400)
Luque is the”safest” play on the card by a good margin at his -900 gaming lineup. I enjoy plugging in those high odds guys in cash so that I can lock a win in there and fret about finding 3 other wins out of my 5 other spots. We usually only need 4 wins in money games to win against the cash line, so that’s what I shoot for in those 50/50 or twice up games. Luque has been very impressive in his UFC run and he’s beat some fairly big names. On paper, this is only one of the easiest matches yet. He also has large time upside down with his completing possible. He has an ITD line of -270, therefore that I think we could have 100+ points in this win. He is a good play in most formats, however he is going to be chalky in tournaments, so that is why he’s my cash play of this week instead.
GPP drama of the week — Alexander Volkov ($8,700)
Heavyweights are always good to target in GPPs because it just takes 1 shot with a lot of those men. I think this is a good matchup for Volkov and he is only priced at $8.7k this week. If he can get a 1st round KO at the price, he’ll probably be on the winning LU. Same goes for Lewis, therefore he is a good GPP drama as well. However, my pick to win will be Volkov and I enjoy his price. I think a few guys priced above him this week will be a lot higher owned, so we could find a heavyweight favorite at lesser possession here. Fight Doesn’t Go To Decision is currently lined at -190, so this is a fantastic GPP fight to target over all. If you like the Dark Beast to find the W, then he is a fantastic fighter to throw on your GPP LUs.
Underdog play of this week — Tony Martin ($7,400)
Here really is the best odds worth on the card. Presently, Laflare is lined at -135 and Tony Martin is lined at +115. However, on DraftKings Laflare is priced $1,400 higher than Martin. I love looking online worth like that and that alone puts Martin in drama in most formats. Martin also has the much better odds to finish this fight ITD, so that’s another and with him. I like the floor for Martin in cash games also since Laflare is not likely to finish if he wins. So, at $7.4k, we could afford a loss from Martin and just take the points he could rack up in 15-minutes.
Fade of this week — Sergio Pettis ($8,600)
Sergio Pettis could get the win . However, he’s going to have to acquire a end to repay his $8.6k price tag. Sergio will not be going for any takedowns in this fight, and he does not strike a high enough rate for him to find 10x of that $8.6k. Sergio are the better fighter around the toes, but if he doesn’t get a finish he then probably only scores 60-70 points at a win. Those low scores do not cut it at $8.6k. There are just better plays points each dollar and people are the guys I’ll be targeting. Sergio is a strong fade if you are earning 20 or less lineups this weekend.
Thank you for reading this and good luck this weekend! If you would like my full-card breakdown where I breakdown every fight on the card and give my full DraftKings analysis, in Addition to all of my pick predictions, then you can find that for only $7.99 on this link below:

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