Can this get any easier? Based on how the specialist NFL analysts of Bleacher Report are faring this year, it can not get much tougher.
Picking every game, Gary Davenport, Brad Gagnon and Brent Sobleski had yet another challenging streak in Week 12, dropping their combined record . Individually and as a crew, here’s the damage through 12 weeks (last week’s records in parentheses):
1. Gary Davenport: 92-78-6 (7-8)
2. Brent Sobleski: 81-89-6 (7-8)
3. Brad Gagnon: 78-92-6 (5-10)
Consensus picks: 83-87-6 (7-8)
With December loomingwe asked longtime sports betting advisor Dave Tuley if there could be some light at the end of the tube to the betting public or if the sportsbooks will continue to benefit from larger samples late in the season.
We were given some hope, but not sufficient to get by tuley.
“There was a period less than a dozen years ago where I had a bunch of years in a row where I just killed it the next half of this year and in December,” he explained. “At the time, I felt as though it was just the time of year when the good teams were overrated and the bad teams were being underrated, and with parity exactly what it was, the underdogs were doing a lot better at the moment.”
But Tuley notes that neither the books nor the bettors have encountered benefits that are consistently significant in recent Decembers. “Just as bettors wish to believe that we are becoming smarter the more people see these teams play,” he said,”clearly the oddsmakers are seeing the very same things we are, and they are adjusting and which makes it tough also.”
But he still believes it is likely to pick out lines that were exaggerated by midseason slumps. Specifically, he pointed at the 7.5-point distribute in favor of the New Orleans Saints in a road matchup with the NFC East-leading Dallas Cowboys on Thursday night.
With that lineup, oddsmakers are suggesting the Saints will be preferred by as many as 13 or 14 points if this game were in New Orleans, which does seem high considering that the Cowboys are riding a three-game winning streak.
“That’s [a manifestation of] how the Saints have been playing,” Tuley said. “For the novels to balance their action, they must put it in the number.”
It is something to remember as we enter the final month of the 2018 season. It might not save your entire year for a bettor, but if you’ve been after us any advice helps.
Here is what Gagnon, Davenport and Sobleski are thinking heading into the initial slate in two or more months.
Read more: conservativewatchnews.org